“A new peak of infections”: the virologist still sees black

“A new peak of infections”: the virologist still sees black
“A new peak of infections”: the virologist still sees black

In September there will be a new one peak gods contagion? “This hypothesis exists“. To say it is the professor Fabrizio Pregliasco, virologist and lecturer at the State University of Milan, during an interview with the microphones of Adnkronos Salute. Then, on the Indian variant: “I have always – he adds – I say we open carefully. We still have a reservoir of half a million positives, that is, people who can infect others in various forms and with varying intensity”.

The hypothesis of a new peak

The virus it could reserve us a last blow of the tail. When? In September. Or, at least, this is the prediction of the virologist Fabrizio Pregliasco who, net of all the hypotheses on the progress of the pandemic, does not exclude the possibility of a resurgence of infections. Thanks to the Indian variant, which in the United Kingdom is showing a rebound in weekly cases equal to 90%, the risk of a new peak “cannot be ruled out”, says the expert. “From a general point of view – explains – what you see in the UK is the presence of the Indian variant, which we might have too“. And then “the choice of slowing down the second dose to give more boost to vaccination, which we are also doing, albeit in a more mediated way. And therefore the openings can give this element. I always have – remembers Pregliasco – I say we open carefully. We still have a reservoir of half a million positives, or people who can infect others in various forms and with varying intensity. Fortunately, what we see in England and which in my opinion we can also reach here – emphasizes the virologist – is not having a large number of serious cases thanks to the vaccination of fragile subjects. In short, the key element is the vaccine that could make us safe“.

The Indian variant

The sudden spread of the “Indian variant” is worrying. In England, today’s findings indicate 6,048 new cases out of nearly a million swabs. But the effect of the vaccines, having reached 69 million doses administered, continues for now to curb the impact on the number of daily deaths (13 in the last 24 hours) and on the total number of people currently hospitalized in British hospitals (still at European lows). Yesterday, health authorities had recorded 5,683 new cases and one death. It is the second time, in the space of seven days, that the threshold of 6 thousand daily infections has been exceeded. On Friday, 6,238 were registered, while last Tuesday there were 3,165, with zero deaths. Do you need to worry? “The Indian variant – explains Pregliasco – he ‘punctured’ the first dose“, which does not protect like the full vaccine.

The vaccine

The only antidote against the virus – and the various mutants – remains the vaccine. More than 39 million Italians have received at least one dose of vaccine and, among them, 13 million have completed the vaccination cycle. Some regions continue the immunization campaign against Covid also through specially dedicated open days during which not only Rna preparations (Pfizer and Moderna) are used, but especially those with viral vector, Vaxzevria by AstraZeneca and the single-dose Janssen by Johnson & Johnson. The two preparations have been approved for ages 18 and up but recommended by the AIFA for those over 60. “For the AstraZeneca vaccine it might be useful to consider a limitation from age 50 and above for women and age 40 and above for men as a prospective element. – explains Pregliasco –But to decide it must be the Aifa in order for it to be official. An indication or a communication is not enough“.

The case of the two young women hospitalized in Genoa after vaccination with AstraZeneca raises some perplexity. “It is a question of investigating and verifying what happened. We must see – concludes the expert – whether it is actually cases with clots and low platelet levels. To date, there are 6 cases in every million people serious reactions to the vaccine“.

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