Germany, with the elections of September 26, 2021, put the age of Angela Merkel behind it with the most extraordinary and problematic electoral result in its democratic history: the (measured) victory of the left of Scholz’s SPD, and the collapse of the CDU of Laschet
It was more than an election a revolution.
Germany voted and put the age of Angela Merkel behind it, with the most unprecedented, extraordinary and problematic electoral result in its democratic history.
What emerges from the polls is a political landscape dominated by fragmentation and in which the birth of a government majority promises to be long and complicated.
Yet, however it turns out, the German political elections have one winner and one loser: the first Olaf Scholz, the second Armin Laschet.
The Social Democratic candidate has resurrected the Spd, taking it to first place after a twenty-year purgatory and winning the bet of combining a message of continuity with Merkel with an electoral program definitely devoted to change.
On the conservative front, Laschet turns out to be the stone around the neck of the CDU-CSU, which sinks to its worst result ever. Not only his fault, being in part also a victim of friendly fire, but the mistakes and gaffes of his campaign will long remain in the nightmares of the party that belonged to Adenauer and Kohl and that has ruled Germany for 50 of the last 70 years.
The Greens are disappointed, for what could have been and could not have been. They missed a historic opportunity, they who in April were at the head of the voting intentions and had the courage to take the field led by a woman. But they can boast a brilliant double-digit result and are indispensable for any government alliance.
They smile the liberals of the FPD, also in double figures and already courted by everyone, winners and losers. They will be the real needle in the balance of the long government negotiation that is about to start.
The double revolution.
The first Federal Republic ends, the one founded on the certainty of two large Volkspartei (the popular parties) and on some minor forces that from time to time alternated as allies in a government coalition. And the emergency surrogate, which he saw, also ends la grand coalition between the CDU and the SPD, shooting as soon as the political conditions offered no alternatives, but which in the long reign of Angela Merkel had become almost normal. Not anymore.
Now the big parties – the rising SPD, the falling CDU – are settling at around 25%, while the Greens and liberals stand out as equal interlocutors, no longer junior partners but forces with great growth potential.
Olaf Scholz claims the mandate to build a majority with Verdi and Fdp.
At this point, the position of Armin Laschet appears unrealistic and desperate, who has announced that he too wants to pursue parallel negotiations on behalf of the CDU-CSU. But it will not be easy for the former Hamburg burgomaster, who has grasped the most contradictory Zeitgeist ever produced in Germany, where Angela Merkel’s nostalgia went hand in hand with the need for a new beginning. Perhaps his birthplace in Osnbruck will come in handy, the city where the Peace of Westphalia was signed in 1648: he put an end to the Thirty Years’ War and defined European assets for the next three centuries.
If small permits , even now it is necessary to negotiate the structure of a new Germany.
As then, Europe watches and waits.