Lorenzo Pregliasco, political analyst, co-founder and director of YouTrend, promotes the center-right federation between the Lega and Forza Italia. “An operation that would lead to the birth of the most important party of the current majority that supports Draghi. I believe that the goal of this operation is to reach between 30% and 35%. This means, in fact, having a consensus similar to what the League had at the 2019 Europeans, when it obtained 34%. Surely the intent is also to steal votes from one Giorgia Meloni constantly growing. Salvini’s idea, however, certainly comes from a chase with Meloni. Then there is the bet to sign the initiative that led to the Draghi government. It is clear that the federation between Forza Italia and the Lega is more successful if there is greater appreciation for the current executive among the center-right voters. An approval that is currently there, due to the favorable climate for reopening and the success of the vaccination campaign. The operation is potentially interesting, even if we cannot exclude that the climate will be different in six to seven months “, explains the pollster.
“From my point of view, this move by Salvini aims to put the flag on the more moderate area of the center-right. If we want, it is a path they have tried, from the left, Matteo Renzi and Carlo Calenda. But the substantial difference compared to what some politicians who come from the center left have tried to do and that this time the initiative to make a moderate change comes from the right. From the point of view of numbers, what is certain is that mergers almost never result in the algebraic sum of consensus of the parties that join“, explains Pregliasco.
“We cannot predict with certainty the numbers. But it is clear that the goal is to go up to 30%, going towards 35%. In the end, people vote in elections, not during polls, and above all they consider options. that are really in the field. However it is true that we insiders are interested in measuring new phenomena. If it were born, it would certainly be the largest party of the majority. A party that could be worth 30% and that in Parliament it would weigh a lot. It would be an investment in the figure of Draghi, while for the center-left it would be a risk to leave the premier in the center-right. This move risks removing Draghi from the center-left “finally reveals in the interview with the Journal, Lorenzo Pregliasco.