“If the trend goes in this direction we will find ourselves in the second half of June with almost all of Italy in the white zone”. The prediction of the ISS president, Silvio Brusaferro, comes on the occasion of the usual weekly monitoring of the control room of the Higher Institute of Health and the Ministry of Health which certifies the constant improvement of the epidemiological curve in Italy. The numbers speak for themselves: the RT continues to decline and reaches 0.68, against 0.72 last week; the value linked to the incidence also fell, settling at 32 cases per 100mi1a inhabitants.
A positive trend that from Monday will produce a new change in the national framework. In Molise, Friuli Venezia Giulia and Sardinia, four other regions will be added to the white zone: Abruzzo, Liguria, Veneto and Umbria. The passage to the area with the least restrictions will come on the day the curfew is extended to midnight. In the yellow zone you can therefore move freely between 5 and 24, while from midnight to 5 in the morning the movements will be allowed only for reasons of work, necessity, urgency, health.
All Regions and Autonomous Provinces are now classified as low risk. And the whole national territory has an average Rt lower than 1, therefore a transmissibility compatible with a type one scenario. Brusaferro then focused on Abruzzo, Liguria, Veneto and Umbria which for the third consecutive monitoring recorded a weekly incidence of under 50 cases, a necessary condition to guarantee the white zone then officially communicated by the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, with a specific ordinance. monitoring next week should reward Lazio, Lombardy, Piedmont, Puglia, Emilia Romagna and the Province of Trento. In essence, therefore, just as anticipated by the president of the ISS, half of Italy will find itself in the scenario with fewer restrictions, and without curfew. 11 21 June, the day on which the curfew will be definitively lifted, it will therefore be the turn of Sicily, Marche, Tuscany, the Province of Bolzano, Calabria, Basilicata and Campania. The only yellow spot in Italy will therefore be represented by the Val d’Aosta which will most likely have to wait until the end of the month for the passage of the band.
“We can look with some optimism at the current situation and also at that of this summer but at the same time we must always be very careful, as public health we must monitor the progress of the epidemic and we must always take some small precautions at the level of individual behavior “. Thus the Director General of Prevention of the Ministry of Health, Gianni Rezza, illustrating the analysis of the data. «The question is: why even if we are in a period of reopening the transmission and the number of new cases tend to decrease? There have been months in which important interventions have been conducted that have led to a decrease in transmission Rezza stresses – there has been a sort of “dilution” of infected people and a virtuous circle has been established in the sense that there is a tendency continues to decline in incidence and transmission. We have seen a strong effect of vaccination on the reduction of serious illness and mortality but still little on transmission, we will see this as we continue to vaccinate the younger sections of the population ».