Quirinale, the pandemic pushes the maneuvers to influence the vote on Colle- Corriere.it

Quirinale, the pandemic pushes the maneuvers to influence the vote on Colle- Corriere.it
Quirinale, the pandemic pushes the maneuvers to influence the vote on Colle- Corriere.it
from Massimo Franco

The transversal attempt by parties divided over everything to freeze the Presidency of the Republic and Palazzo Chigi

The maneuver had been in incubation for a few days: transform the “Omicron variant” of Covid into a variable for the Quirinale. Therefore use the pandemic as an alibi to re-propose an institutional cast, and thus shield the powerlessness of the political forces. The maneuver reveals the existence of a sort of “patatrac party“: A supply chain that bets on a resurgence of infections or on a stock market crisis, or on some other borderline situation, to push the head of state, Sergio Mattarella, to rethink the “no” to a reappointment; and to thwart the election of Mario Draghi to the Quirinale.

The problem is that the strategy circulates a lot in the heads of the parties, from the M5S, to the Pd
, a FI, to the small center nebula of Carlo Calenda and Matteo Renzi; and even, lately, in sectors of the right. But it does not find any response at the Quirinale, where the “no” of the President of the Republic remains firm. The prediction that from here in mid-Januarywhen you have to bring the Chambers together to vote for his successor, the situation may worsen in an emergency, is considered at least premature; certainly rather instrumental.

Apparently it is an operation that denotes a great sense of responsibility: do not interrupt the irreplaceable work of the executive and also ensure the continuity of an unprecedented majority. Seen with more coldness and less rhetoric, however, a search for the “lesser evil” is outlined for the parties that cultivate it; and which could have paradoxical effects: to bring Italy in a short time from a situation in which its leaders are represented by Mattarella and Draghi, to one in which both “guarantors” would leave the scene. The insistence on the premier destined to remain at Palazzo Chigi “until 2023” actually hides an illusion and a calculation. The illusion is that the majority can survive a dark battle of the parties on the Quirinale. The calculation is that a head of state other than the current prime minister returns power to the parties after the parenthesis opened in February 2020.

But neither this hypothesis nor a timed confirmation of Mattarella would solve the unknown of
future of Draghi and his government. They would only serve to hide the differences within and between political forces, without saving the executive. When FI insists on the premier until 2023, in reality it favors the ambitions of Silvio Berlusconi on the Quirinale: an operation that the Cavaliere methodically pursues, counting the grillini defectors who in Parliament could gravitate to his orbit. As for the Pd, behind the “Draghi forever” there is the tenacious hope of bending Mattarella’s “no” to a yes in extremis: a way to avoid the competition between the many aspirants, and to preserve not so much European aid, but the balance of the party.

Is in the Five Stars movement, the lavish praise to Mattarella that Luigi Di Maio wanted to try by Parliament in 2018, arise only from the fear of early elections: without realizing that it is an unfortunate prospect, disconnected from Draghi’s arrival at the Quirinale and looming precisely due to the crisis of the system. Because of this Mattarella has repeated several times that he does not think about the encore. Anyone who knows him well knows that he wanted to make it clear precisely to remove alibis from the parties and force them to find a common candidate as soon as possible. A dangerous fight would be avoided, especially due to international repercussions.

Those who bet on the Italian disaster between now and January to argue that there is no alternative to the confirmation of Mattarella and Draghi ignores what has happened from 2018 to today. It tends to exaggerate an emergency that is not such; and hopefully it will remain under control anyway. Those who at the Quirinale call the presidential “little encores” are slippery. They produce a mixture of inaction and instrumental use of the Constitution. It is seen with Giorgio Napolitano, re-elected after a pressing request and almost unanimous of the parties, and a series of failed votes. When he resigned two years later, it was greeted in an ungenerous way by many of the same political forces that had begged him to accept.

Every day that passes the scenario promises to get complicated, it’s true. Simplifying it with a freeze of the present, however, would only mean postpone the accounts with the new phase that Italy is facing; and which requires a credible guarantor for the next seven years.

November 28, 2021 (change November 28, 2021 | 23:58)

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