Covid, contagion curve rises again. Third dose for everyone, but when? – Chronicle

Covid, contagion curve rises again. Third dose for everyone, but when? – Chronicle
Covid, contagion curve rises again. Third dose for everyone, but when? – Chronicle

We are late on third doses. We have lost weeks that we risk paying dearly. The numbers don’t lie (here the latest Gimbe data). The calls already administered are 2.5 million (out of 6 million of the audience), at a rate that in recent days has been around 110-130 thousand. With the decision to open also to forty-year-olds, another 7 million people between 40 and 49 years of age are added to the 24 million over 50 already fully vaccinated, and therefore ready for the third dose. The total is 29 million. Green pass, towards the close. The hypothesis: give it only to Covid vaccinated people: Rt Italia index rises to 1.21. All white regions, Friuli towards high risk Which roadmap is necessary? It would take 90 days, at the rate of 320 thousand doses per day, to dispose of them all. Too bad that 320 thousand is almost triple what is being done today and that …

We are late on third doses. We have lost weeks that we risk paying dearly. The numbers don’t lie (here the latest Gimbe data). The calls already administered are 2.5 million (out of 6 million of the audience), at a rate that in recent days has been around 110-130 thousand. With the decision to open also to forty-year-olds, another 7 million people between 40 and 49 years of age are added to the 24 million over 50 already fully vaccinated, and therefore ready for the third dose. The total is 29 million.

Green pass, towards the close. The hypothesis: give it only to the vaccinated

Covid: Rt Italia index rises to 1.21. All white regions, Friuli towards high risk

What roadmap is needed?

It would take 90 days, at the rate of 320 thousand administrations per day, to dispose of them all. Too bad that 320 thousand is almost triple what is being done today and that many hubs (which guaranteed the large numbers of this summer) have been closed and that even at the rate of 330 thousand doses per day it would end well beyond the end of February, considering in the 40-60 range, the green light starts from the first of December. Too late.

No Green pass, Tuiach fired from the Port of Trieste

What age groups is the third dose extended to?

From 40 and up. And that there is an urgent need to act quickly, the Ministry of Health, the Higher Council of Health, the Italian Medicines Agency and the ISS also admit, in the opinion attached to the ministerial circular that extends vaccination to the age group. 40-60 years, in which they launch the appeal to the Regions to accelerate, “to proceed quickly with the administration of the booster dose to all subjects for whom it has already been recommended”.

Do you need acceleration?

The insiders are more than convinced that there is this urgency. “With the increase in viral circulation – underlines Nino Cartabellotta, president of the Gimbe Foundation – the acceleration on the front of third doses is a fundamental strategy to contain the fourth wave. From this point of view, both the lack of vaccine deliveries are starting to worry. for 4 weeks, without official information on the supply plan, and some critical issues that hinder the monitoring of the performance of the Regions, which in fact go in no particular order “.

Are there any differences between Regions?

As of November 3 – recalls Gimbe – 2,409,596 third doses were administered, with a 7-day moving average that exceeded 100,000. The national vaccination coverage rate for additional doses is 40% with clear regional differences: from 2.3% of Valle d’Aosta al 100% di Umbria and Piedmont. The national coverage with the booster dose is 39.5%, again with considerable differences between the regions: from 18.3% in Calabria to 81.2% in Molise. Of the audience relating to the booster dose, stopped at the update on November 2, more than 3.1 million people still have to be vaccinated, to which every week there are about 800 thousand over 60 who have completed the vaccination cycle.

What is the goal by the end of the year?

That is, by the end of the year they will be added to this audience well 7.4 million people, as well as around 750,000 under 60 vaccinated with Johnson & Johnson. “These are over 11 million booster doses – comments Gimbe – which require the Regions to make a decisive change of pace, given that approximately 1.4 million doses per week should be administered by the end of December”. With the enlargement from 1 December, first to over 50s and now to over 40s, the number rises to 29 million and there is a risk of clogging.

But should hubs be reopened?

Many, from the “Nuvola” in Rome, to the Mandela Forum in Florence, to the Unipol Arena in Casalecchio di Reno, have been closed. The extraordinary commissioner Francesco Paolo Figliuolo claims to have the situation under control. “With the current organization – the general said on Monday – we are able to keep a high pace. If we realize that the system could not hold up, we will be able to activate some further hubs”. But the point is another: do not chase demand, but anticipate it and indeed create it. With a massive information campaign and greater capacity – such as the one seen last July, so up to over 650,000 doses per day – we would take half the time and reduce the circulation of the virus. What is needed today.

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