Never so much uncertainty with three parties crowded in less than two percentage points. During Dimartedì on La7 the pollster Nando Pagnoncelli explains the latest Ipsos surveys on political parties and in connection with Giovanni Floris on Tuesday 14 September Pagnoncelli takes stock of the consent to the parties.
For the Ipsos survey, the first party remains the Lega di Matteo Salvini, given at 20.5 per cent. Half a point more than the Democratic Party while Fratelli d’Italia is at 18.8% (in other surveys the party of Giorgia Meloni is given as the first party, a sign of a climate of uncertainty).
“There are three parties separated by only 1.7 percent, and from a statistical point of view this ranking can also be overturned” explains the president of Ipsos, confirming the difficulty of reading public opinion, because “they are all around to 19-20 percent “.
Fourth in Pagnoncelli’s survey is the 5 Star Movement at 17 percent. The most positive figure, notes the pollster, is that of Forza Italia with Silvio Berlusconi’s party which reaches 8.2%: “This is the party that has earned the most since July, an abundant point”, quantifies the president of the Ipsos.
And the other parties? Light years away. There is a small group of around two per cent with Renzi’s Italia Viva, + Europe, Carlo Calenda’s Action and Sinistra at 2%, then down to 1 per cent of Article 1 / Mdp, the party of the minister of Greetings Roberto Speranza.
Another more “social” rather than political survey, the one on No Vax, is also significant. For 56% of Italians they are “a minority of exalted”. However, 28% acknowledged that “they have some reason”. 5% are unbalanced: “They are completely right”, while 11% have no opinion about it or in any case prefer not to expose themselves.
But the real unknown is not contained in these percentages. 38 percent today declare that they want to abstain or be undecided with respect to the vote “, explains Pagnoncelli. More than a third of the general electorate, which could overturn the forecasts already in the next administrative elections.