We have arrived at the last week of the European Championships (HERE the complete scoreboard). Many big names are missing, but there is Italy and with it three different protagonists who – since you never get here by chance – all deserve to stay where they are. Tuesday 6 July will touch a Italy-Spain, Wednesday 7 July a England-Denmark. One challenge seems more unbalanced than the other. In any case, the impression that the Azzurri and the Three Lions are the most credible candidates for the final on July 11 at Wembley that the Southgate team would play at home, a factor no small factor. Here then is the analysis of the two games and, at the end, a projection on the possible final. With a prediction on who will lift the cup in London.
Tuesday 6 July at 9 pm, Wembley
Tv: Rai 1 and Sky
We are more alike than we think now. Two young teams with some experienced men, many excellent players, no real champions, two formidable coaches who are first of all two football masters, two projects underway. With one difference: ours, a project, a little further on. If Mancini has been working in the new Italy since 2018, three good years, Luis Enrique has practically started now. With all the unknowns and the resulting difficulties. With the Generacion Dorada that won everything between 2008 and 2012 still in their eyes, the Spaniards have so far looked with suspicion the new Roja without Real players and where almost three quarters of those called up are on their first major international experience. Since Busquets returned to the heart of the field, the team has another step. The attack now works, the tiki taka is no longer the sterile web of passes of the beginning: 11 goals in the last 3 games. The limits are still several, especially in the management of matches, where instead we are higher. In that respect we are more of a team: they go in and out of matches, we don’t. A question of maturity. This is our real little advantage. In defense we are better, the Chiellini-Bonucci duo give two laps to the Laporte-Pau Torres one. With Spinazzola, perhaps we would have been a little further ahead in the head-to-head game of percentages, which are obviously very balanced. Unfortunately for Spina there is no such thing Italy 55 percent, Spain 45.
Wednesday 7th July at 9pm, Wembley
Tv: Rai1 and Sky
Kane finally woke up, the two goals in the 4-0 against Ukraine were a clear message to the many who had (rightly) criticized him so far: I am back and now I do not intend to stop. The hurricane (unemployed after the end of the story with Tottenham: who takes it? Eye to the City) the symbol of this England’s desire not to waste yet another opportunity in its history. This European, with a more than questionable format with the final four all in London, it seems designed especially for the dear old national team of the Three Lions. Who now, after the all too easy success over Ukraine, believes in it. Watch out for the arrogance, which often cost the British dearly: football’s coming home sang the fans on the streets of Rome, football is coming home, but watch out that this advantage does not turn into a double-edged sword. Also because the young team from Southgate has many elements of the highest level – Kane, Mount, Sancho, a reliable midfield, finally even a good goalkeeper like Pickford – but they seem to have few real phenomena, perhaps just Sterling. Defense is its real strength: the only team that has not yet conceded a goal. Denmark – who beat the Czech Republic 2-1 in the quarter-finals – are the weakest of the four semi-finalists on paper. Not just on paper, actually. But the European has already taught that surprises are possible, much more than at the World Cup. The Danes themselves won in 1992 and they didn’t even have to participate. Eriksen’s drama has given a special charge to a group led by AC Milan player Kjaer who now no longer intends to set limits. There is a special air in Copenhagen. Beware of the atalantino Beautiful and the attacker Dolberg, who finally unlocked, to Dortmund’s Delaney. The Danes are solid and convinced. Predictions? Inevitably unbalanced towards the British: 70 percent versus 30.
Sunday 11 July at 9 pm, Wembley
Tv: Rai 1 and Sky
And then…. And then there is the final. a game, of course, so let’s play to the end. On the predictions we have our say, implicitly saying that the final will be Italy-England. So let’s try to figure out how it would turn out. Clearly it would be a challenge in almost absolute equilibrium, with the English who on 11 July would have the enormous advantage of playing at home with the public all in their favor. Italy has grown enormously in this tournament, forcing even those who did not see it beyond the quarterfinals – almost all of them – to take back the prediction. The truth is that now we are scary. Then: England 51, Italy 49.
July 4, 2021 (change July 4, 2021 | 11:48)
© REPRODUCTION RESERVED