The legacy that March leaves to April is heavy: the decrease in new positive cases is barely noticeable, even yesterday another 23,649 new infected with Covid; the deaths were 3,000 in a week (yesterday another 501) and thirteen regions are in trouble in intensive care. Yet, instead of protecting the categories that risk a more serious disease and therefore end up in hospital, Italy has preferred to vaccinate the youngest. And he neglected, dramatically, the seventies. Yesterday Gimbe, the foundation that has been analyzing the data since the beginning of the pandemic, explained: “Of the over 5.9 million Italians aged 70-79, only 106,506 (1.8 percent) completed the vaccination cycle and 481,418 (8,1) received only the first dose, again with notable regional differences ».
Easter in the red zone, Campania and Veneto towards the orange zone from Tuesday. Narrow Liguria and Piedmont
WHO: slow European vaccination campaign
An inexplicable fact, which calls into question the strategy applied in Italy, given that the lethality rate in the 70-79 age group, among those who become infected, is very high, above 9 percent. For those over 80 it is better, but we are still only 28.8 percent of seniors of that age who received first and second doses. In absolute numbers, all the younger age categories have received more injections than the seventy-year-olds, with the exception of the 20-29 year-old group which, however, has a similar figure to that of the over-70s. they can decrease. Gimbe’s survey also shows that the effect of the Regions in red or orange band is there but it is slow and patchy.
Nino Cartabellotta, president of the Gimbe Foundation: “For the second consecutive week at the national level there is a slow decline in the number of new cases and their percentage increase, even if the figure is affected by significant regional differences related to the level of restrictions of 3 weeks does”. The monitoring refers to the week of 24-30 March and in comparison with the previous one sees “a slight reduction in new cases (141,396 compared to 150,181) compared to an increase in deaths (3,000 compared to 2,878). Hospitalizations with symptoms increased (29,231 compared to 28,428) and intensive care (3,716 compared to 3,546) “. In summary: nine Regions see the percentage increase in new cases still growing, especially the 4 that three weeks ago were in the white or yellow area (Calabria, Liguria, Sardinia and Valle d’Aosta). “On the contrary, there are significant reductions in Regions that three weeks ago were in the orange or red zone”.
Then there is the issue of hospitals. Renata Gili, Head of Research on Health Services of the Foundation: “Both the alert thresholds for occupancy of beds by Covid patients in the medical area (40 per cent) and in intensive care (30) have been exceeded at the national level, reaching respectively at 44 and 41 “. There are 10 regions above the threshold for the medical area and 13 for intensive care. The employment of Covid patients in intensive care exceeds 40 per cent in Puglia, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Umbria, Tuscany, Molise, Lazio and 50 per cent in Piedmont, the Autonomous Province of Trento, Emilia-Romagna, with values above 60 in Lombardy and the Marche. “In terms of new daily admissions to intensive care – says Marco Mosti, Gimbe’s operational director – after the slowdown recorded last week, the figure has stabilized”. Yesterday, another 244 patients entered intensive care, while the balance had a first decrease (but we always remember that that figure is influenced not only by healings but, unfortunately, also by deaths): the total hospitalized for Covid 19 are now 32,630 with a decrease in the number of beds occupied by 260 units, of which 3,681 are in intensive care (minus 29).
That the effect of the limitations connected to the red band is slow is also shown by the trend of infections in Lazio, a region which, after two weeks with the maximum level of closures, has returned to orange since last Tuesday. Instead of decreasing, the new positive cases are in fact stable, always between 1,800 and 2,000, with strong pressure on hospitals that made it necessary to declare “scenario IV” in hospitals (more places reserved for Covid patients), even if the ‘Rt (transmission index) remains just below the guard level of 1 (0.98). According to the data of these days (including those of yesterday) some northern regions such as Piedmont, Lombardy, Veneto and Emilia-Romagna are in trouble, but also Campania and Puglia are in crisis. In brutal terms: taking into account that after Easter there will also be the reopening of schools, at the moment we do not see the opening that will allow, already in April, the return of some territories in the yellow band.
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