Rome, 11 November 2021 – The general deterioration picture has been confirmed. Continue to increase the circulation of the Coronavirus in Italia. New weekly cases of Covid grow by 37.7%, hospital admissions by 14.8% and intensive care by 9.4%. While the currently positives exceed 100,000. Providing the picture is the new monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation, which compares the data of the week 3-9 November, compared to the previous one. “For the third consecutive week – declares Nino Cartabellotta, Gimbe president – an increase in new weekly cases is confirmed and a daily average more than doubled in less than a month, from 2,456 on 15 October to 5,870 on 9 November”.
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The data in detail
In particular, by comparing the data of the week of October 27-November 2 with those of the week of November 3-9, i new cases they went from 29,841 to 41,091 (+ 37.7%), i deaths from 257 to 330. The hospitalizations in hospital of patients with symptoms, which went from 2,992 to 3,436 (14.8%) and patients hospitalized for Covid in intensive care, which went from 385 to 421 (+ 9.4%), as well as people in home isolation, which went from 81,070 to 96,348, equal to + 18.8%. In addition, in the last three weeks, Gimbe monitoring notes, the increase in viral circulation is well documented by the increase in both the positive / people tested ratio (from 3.6% to 9.9%), and the positive / swab ratio molecular (2.4% to 4.7%).
Regions that risk the yellow zone: the point of the situation
Covid, the most affected areas
Covid infections are increasing in all Italian regions and growth goes on from 12.7% of Tuscany to 75.3% of the autonomous province of Bolzano. In particular, for 66 Provinces there is an incidence equal to or greater than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants: in Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Lazio and Veneto all the provinces exceed this threshold. In 3 Provinces there are over 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants: Trieste (479), Bolzano (260) and Gorizia (221).
Ecdc map: in Italy 3 regions in red. The others are almost all yellow
“These are numbers – comments Cartabellotta – that should lead local administrators to consider restrictions on a municipal or provincial basis, to prevent the spread of the infection from dragging the entire Region into the yellow zone “.
The hospital front
“On the hospital front – says Renata Gili, Head of Research on Health Services of the Fondazioee – there is a further increase in the number of beds occupied by Covid patients: compared to the previous week + 14.8% in the medical area and + 9.4% in therapy intensive “. At the national level, the employment rate remains very low (6% in the medical area and 5% in intensive care), but with notable regional differences. In particular, no Region exceeds the 15% threshold for the medical area, while Friuli-Venezia Giulia (11%) and Marche (11%) exceed that of 10% for the critical area. These values, in the short term, Gimbe recalls, do not involve the risk of passing into the yellow zone which, in addition to the weekly incidence of more than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, simultaneously requires the overcoming of the employment threshold of 15% in the medical area and the 10% in intensive care.
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Collapse of the vaccinated
They drop by 75% in three weeks the first doses of vaccine anti Covid and more 2.7 million are over 50 to be vaccinated. While even the third doses do not take off and the vaccine supplies are also at stake, Gimbe is calling for a “change of gear to contain the fourth wave”. In particular, the report notes, after touching 440 thousand in the week 11-17 October, in three weeks the number of new vaccinated people fell by 75.4%, reaching 108,497 in the week 1-7 November. Of these, 72.2% are people of working age.
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