There will be a need for 612,000 new commercial aircraft pilots over the next 20 years. The strong growth forecast for air transport, which is slowly recovering after the sharp fall in 2020 caused by the pandemic, will require large numbers of qualified personnel. The forecast is made by Boeing, one of the world’s two largest aircraft manufacturers. “Long-term demand for skilled aircraft personnel remains strong,” with demand forecast for 2.124 million people by 2040 to fly planes and to maintain the entire world fleet.
Strong demand for new aircraft
Boeing’s estimates were released together with the “Commercial market outlook” (CMO) which foresees a demand for 43,610 new passenger and freight aircraft in the period 2021-2040. According to the aerospace group, there will be a need for 612,000 pilots, 626,000 maintenance technicians and 886,000 flight attendants for the aircraft crews. This is a very substantial number of new jobs, even if 11.5% lower than the estimates made a year ago by the same source, which indicated 2.4 million new jobs.
North America, Europe and China
Projections indicate that the area that will require the greatest number of pilots and other qualified aviation personnel is North America, with 432,000 seats in 20 years, divided as follows: 130,000 pilots, 132,000 technicians, 170,000 flight attendants. Followed by China (411,000 total, of which 123,000 pilots), the rest of East Asia and the Pacific, including Australia (408,000, of which 108,000 pilots), Europe (405,000, of which 115,000 pilots).
Middle East and Latin America
In the Middle East a total demand of 196,000 seats in aviation is expected (of which 54,000 pilots), in Latin America of 126,000 (38,000 pilots), in Russia and Central Asia of 83,000 (25,000 pilots), in Africa of 63,000 (19,000 pilots) ).
World fleet doubled in 2040
Boeing’s CMO predicts that the world fleet of all companies in 2040 will reach 49,405 aircraft, almost double the size at the end of 2019 (25,900).