There is alarm everywhere for the mutation of the Covid virus which until a few weeks ago they only called “Indian”. There is a “very high probability” that the Delta variant of the coronavirus pandemic become dominant in the European Union shortly and in the European Economic Area (See). This was underlined by the ECDC, the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control, in an update on the risks associated with the mutant reported for the first time in India. “It is expected that by the beginning of August 70% of new Sars-CoV-2 infections in the EU / See will be caused by this variant”, a percentage that it will rise to “90% by the end of August“, Promises the ECDC.
The transmissibility effect
An estimate made on the basis of forecasting models based on the fact that, “according to the available evidence – the experts specify – the Delta variant is 40-60% more transmissible than the Alpha“Or English. Based on the available scientific evidence, “the Delta variant is more transmissible than other circulating variants, continues the ECDC. “Unfortunately, preliminary data show” that the Delta variant “it can also infect individuals who have only received one dose of the vaccines currently available, ”said the director of the ECDC Andrea Ammon.
Acceleration in the summer
“It is very likely that the Delta variant will circulate widely during the summer, particularly among younger individuals who are not vaccinated – he continues – this could cause a risk” for those who are not fully vaccinated. “It is essential – adds Ammon – progress with the vaccination campaign at a rapid pace»With the second dose which must be administered« within the minimum interval », to speed up the time. «I am aware – he concludes – that a significant effort on the part of public health authorities and society in general is required to achieve this goal. But now is the time to do everything possible».
Vaccination is essential
“The risk of Sars-CoV-2 infection related to the expected increase in circulation of the Delta variant for the vulnerable population is considered low to moderate for the fully vaccinated categories and very high for the partially or unvaccinated categories”. This is what we read in an evaluation published byl European Center for Disease Prevention and Control. “The risk has increased for countries in all epidemiological situations”, the document states. “Without thecontinued application of non-pharmaceutical measures and further rapid implementation of full vaccination, large increases in new infections, hospitalizations and deaths could be observed, ”EU experts stressed.
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