First certainty: in the round of 16 we will not meet France, Portugal or Germany, but later … Italy, arriving first, would find the second in group C in London, one between Austria and Ukraine
From our correspondent Luca Bianchin
– BUDAPEST (Ung)
The second round of matches is the moment in which from spectators one begins to become fans. Group F, for example, is ready to return with its show: a great match in turns. Tomorrow Hungary-France in Budapest at 3pm and Germany-Portugal in Munich at 6pm. In addition to enjoying the Portugal of the creatives against Germany back to the wall, it is time to ask ourselves: what is better for Italy?
First certainty: in the second round we will not meet France, Portugal or Germany. Impossible. Italy arriving first would find the second in group C in London, one between Austria and Ukraine. If we lost to Wales, we would close in seconds, we would fly to Amsterdam and meet the second of group B. Most probable hypothesis: Russia, but crossings with Belgium, Finland and Denmark are also possible. A first certainty, however, is making its way: a victory for Portugal in Munich would reduce Germany’s chances of qualifying among the four best third. For Löw to pass with three points – the only possible victory against Hungary – would not be impossible but certainly more complex. And for Italy, not having Germany on the board would mean having one less worry.
To understand who to cheer in group F, however, we must look above all to the quarterfinals and semifinals. The eventual third of that group can only go in two areas of the scoreboard: in the eighth reasonably manned by Belgium and in the one already assigned to Holland. It depends on which will be the best thirds, still premature calculation. What matters in a blue key, however, is that an Italy first in the group – the outcome everyone thinks about today – would risk finding the third in group F in the quarterfinals and the first in group F in the semifinals. With a not inconsiderable detail: that fourth will be played in Munich. There is a risk of a Germany-Italy away match.
Too early to think about it? Yes, likely. But two things can be said. The first: if Italy wins its group on Sunday, in France-Portugal on Wednesday it will be good to cheer against the most feared team. Do we want to stay away from Mbappé until the final? So let’s cheer on CR7. And vice versa, of course. The second: there is a green and white solution that is always valid. Supporting Hungary… you are not wrong. If the national team coached by Marco Rossi takes away points from France and Germany, the Azzurri will have one less thought (and Rossi an almost impossible dream of qualification, more).
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June 18, 2021 (change June 18, 2021 | 12:57)
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