Weather JULY and AUGUST, the latest UPDATE has overturned the FORECAST! We reveal the news
Also in light of this, in the last period many of you are asking us the same question: “what will be the next summer months of July and August“? To answer this question we must rely on the so-called climate projections in the long term: an attempt to predict, well in advance, the meteorological trend in broad lines over vast areal scales.
Well, since the last update they have emerged news, with a real turnaround expected in the second part of the season.
Let’s start immediately with good news for lovers of heat. Already towards the end of Junein fact, a vast high pressure field of subtropical origin will be able to impose itself more and more significantly on the Mediterranean basin: if this is confirmed, we expect greater atmospheric stability from North to South and especially, thermal values in marked increase.
In short words, summer will start to get serious.
The latest ones confirm this trend seasonal cards of the European Center which for the next month of July they see anomalies of temperatures up to + 1 / 1.5 ° C compared to climatic averages of reference (1993-2016). The main cause of these anomalies will be the infamous African anticyclone that sends hot air masses with high humidity levels from the Sahara Desert. This could likely translate to heat waves coming from Africa, absent or almost until these weeks, with peaks ready to splash well over 35 ° C in Valpadana, inland areas of the two Major Islands and on part of the Central South. The surplus of heat and the growing humidity in the lower layers could provide the fuel needed for the development of massive storm cells whenever the drafts of fresher air and unstable will be able to breach the anticyclone. Most at risk in these cases will be the Northern regions, more subject to the violent temporal due to thermal contrasts.
OVERTURN. In spite of what was estimated from the last update, the juicy Announcements that emerges from the last projection concerns in particular the month of August, traditionally the highlight of Italian holidays: well, it seems that we will have to deal with temperatures well above the average of about + 1 ° C: consequently, it is reasonable to expect a rather hot month, especially at Center-North. Slightly different speech for the South and for the two major islands, where the anomalies would be more contained (+ 0.5 ° C compared to the reference average).
While there is a certain margin of uncertainty, the above it’s all true; these are not far-fetched predictions, but one of the main ones scenarios proposed by the very authoritative European Center.
Temperatures for the month of July: up to 1.5 ° C above average