“It is useless to continue talking about polls. Elections are always a different film from polls, as the recent regional elections in Germany also demonstrate. Polls are more of a tool for influencing political debate than a snapshot of reality. , I suggest everyone focus on ideas rather than polls. It makes a difference who makes politics, not who follows the polls. And the Italian political world of 2023 will be totally different. A gentle revolution will overwhelm old and new political parties, we bet? “. Words from the leader of Italia viva, Matteo Renzi.
Italy Viva always down in the polls: just over 2 percent
What do the latest political polls say? The League is confirmed as the first party in Italy while Fratelli d’Italia gnaws almost half a point according to the latest Swg poll for La7. In the event of political elections, the Carroccio would now collect 21.4% of the votes, slightly down (-0.3) compared to the previous poll of May 31st. Fratelli d’Italia instead grew by 0.1 percentage points: so Giorgia Meloni’s party remains in second place with 20.1% ahead of about one percentage point over the Democratic Party which collects 19.2% of the votes ( 0.2 percent more than 7 days ago).
The M5s is at 15.9% with a growth of 0.1% compared to the last survey. And what about all the other parties? They are all almost 10 percentage points apart. There is Forza Italia with 6.9% (up by 0.6% compared to the previous survey), followed by Action by Carlo Calenda with 3.4% and Sinistra Italiana which falls back by -0.4 points and stops at 2.6%. Article1 and Italia viva on equal points with 2.1%, + Europe and the Greens, also on equal points, with 1.8%, the new Coraggio Italia party of Giovanni Toti and Luigi Brugnaro stands at 1 %.
Personal satisfaction for Matteo Renzi: latest polls
For Matteo Renzi things do not seem to be going very well: he ended up in the “heap” of parties in the queue in the polls, those that oscillate between little more than negligible percentages. The former mayor of Florence does not seem to worry, confident that he will return to the vote only in 2023. However, Renzi’s conviction seems risky. In the event of the election of Prime Minister Draghi at the Quirinale (a possible scenario, according to some even probable), the early political elections could take place between April and May next year.
Until a few months ago, the former secretary of the Democratic Party and the loyalists still seemed to aim for that 10 percent that at the time of its foundation was defined as the goal of Italy alive, but today appears to be unattainable today. In the “test” of the autumn municipal elections in the big cities even Calenda’s Action could dredge other votes from the Renzian creature, in Rome and beyond. Also in terms of personal satisfaction Renzi is in the second part of the ranking, and also in the queue. Giuseppe Conte is at 51 percent, at the top of the standings. Matteo Renzi closes it, at 11 percent.
“We changed government in the name of politics, not polls.” So a month ago Matteo Renzi via Facebook replied to the former premier Conte, who claimed that Renzi had brought down the government “because of the Italia Viva polls”. The fact remains that remaining central for a long time in the Italian public and political debate when one is at the head of a party well below 4-5 percent, in perspective, appears complex. Sooner or later we go back to voting for the political elections (who knows what electoral law, but this is another matter), which will be a “different film” than all the polls, but all the main institutions give Iv around them digits. Very low and with no significant upward or downward trend to report.
“It makes the difference who is in politics, not who follows the polls” says Renzi. But perhaps here he is wrong: the difference is made by the votes, in the end. Now his party would take very few. And for this there is no solution.