Region colors today: the new map. The scenarios for next week – Chronicle

Rome, May 3, 2021 – Today the colors of the Regions in Italy change. Red the Valle d’Aosta; Basilicata, Calabria, Puglia, Sicily and Sardinia in orange; all the others in yellow. But the spotlight is already shifting to next week. So let’s see what the regions under the lens, those where the epidemic persists and the slowdowns are less evident? The reasoning as we know must cross many elements, which can be grouped into three categories:weekly incidence of infections per 100,000 inhabitants, the level of risk determined by the combination of 21 indicators, the four different scenarios linked toRt. Going deeper into the last point – hence the contagiousness rate, in other words the number of infections caused by an infected person – Basilicata, Campania, Molise and Sicily they have an incidence of 1 or slightly higher, in the monitoring data released by the Higher Institute of Health-Ministry of Health updated to 29 April. There Campania it returns as before also in the last survey of the Gimbe Foundation of Bologna, at the top of the ranking of regions with high virus circulation. And Basilicata also returns, in third place after Puglia. They follow Sardinia, Emilia Romagna, Calabria and Lazio.

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Carlo Palermo, national secretary of the most representative medical union, theAnaao Assomed, then invites us to look carefully at the data on the occupations of therapy intensive. If we consider this monitoring, “result in difficulty Tuscany and Lombardy, which exceed 41% ”, when the alarm threshold was set at 30%. Yet: “Puglia to 39%, then Piedmont, Lazio, Emilia Romagna and Marche, Liguria it is 29% ”, so just below the border line. As of 1 May in Italy there were 2,522 patients admitted to critical wards (-61 compared to the previous day). But Palermo calls for caution: “We must always remember that today we are seeing the effects of the restrictions, not those of the reopening, which will be evident in a couple of weeks. In hospitals in particular, the situation is not yet calm. This is why extreme caution is needed. We still have a very high circulation of the virus “. Going to the numbers: “There are 400 thousand infected detected, but in reality they could be double. This is the basic element. As a trade union we would have preferred an extension of the restrictions and an acceleration of vaccines. Today the risk is much left to the responsibility of individuals. But only 30% of the population is covered by the doses, the reverse of what happens in Great Britain, which has reopened but after having immunized 70% of the population. Only in mid-May you can decide what to do. Caution is needed. And the red areas could return. It is not that they have disappeared ”.

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