Covid, Iss: “Vaccine protection from contagion drops to 44% after 5 months, remains high against serious illness. One in 4 cases of school age”

Covid, Iss: “Vaccine protection from contagion drops to 44% after 5 months, remains high against serious illness. One in 4 cases of school age”
Covid, Iss: “Vaccine protection from contagion drops to 44% after 5 months, remains high against serious illness. One in 4 cases of school age”

L’effectiveness of the vaccine in preventing the infection goes down under 50% as early as 5 months after completing the first cycle. The latest bulletin ofHigher Institute of Health ‘anticipates’ the sharp drop in the estimate of the two doses by one month. Up to 7 days ago, in fact, the extended ISS report spoke of the drop to 40% six months after the second dose. Now, however, the updating of the data has led to calculate that the effectiveness “Drops from 75% to 44%” after five months, while “Remains high” in preventing cases of severe disease: “The efficacy for those vaccinated with a full course of less than five months is equal to 93% compared to unvaccinated, while it is equal to85% for those vaccinated with a complete cycle for more than five months compared to those not vaccinated ”, writes the ISS. It follows, we read in the full bulletin, that for an unvaccinated person the risk compared to one vaccinated for less than 5 months is 10 times greater from recovery, 16 times greater than intensive care and 9 times greater than death.

Between October 15 and November 14, a period in which the data are now consolidated, they ended up in hospital 3,733 unvaccinated, 1,435 patients vaccinated for less than 5 months e 2.336 vaccinated for more than 5 months. The difference is even more evident, if we consider the patients admitted to intensive care in the same period: 546 not vaccinated, 132 vaccinated with a full cycle for less than 5 months and 150 vaccinated for more than 5 months. The difference in risk between vaccinated and unvaccinated becomes even clearer by remembering that the unvaccinated population is composed of 7.4 million people, while the vaccinated are over 42 million, eleven of which for more than 5 months. Even though they are a much more limited “pool” of people, therefore, the unvaccinated produce much higher numbers of hospitalizations and ICU admissions.

Case analysis diagnosed in the last week it also confirmed the trend already recorded in the previous one, with a ‘reservoir’ of important cases in “school age”, explains. The 27% of the total cases diagnosed under the age of 20: “The 51% of school-age cases were diagnosed in age group 6-11 years, 33% in the 12-19 age group and only 11% and 5% were diagnosed, respectively between 3 and 5 years and under 3 years “. Numbers that explain how the virus moves mainly in the population range at the moment not vaccinable and which photographs from a data point of view the difficulties of tracking a school emerged in the last few days, with the government forced to a triple reverse between 3 November and Wednesday. In particular, in the period November 15-28, in this population have been reported 40,529 new cases, of which 161 hospitalized and zero hospitalized in intensive care. Furthermore, it is emphasized in the Iss report, in the class of age 6-11 years starting from the second week of October, a increased growth incidence compared to the rest of the school-age population, with a surge in the last two weeks.

Fourteen days in which the incidence – certifies the ISS – increased in 20 Regions and autonomous provinces out of 21: all with the exception of Calabria, where the data is underlined is affected by a “Notification delay” of cases. “The Friuli Venezia Giulia, the Autonomous Province of Bolzano and the Valle d’Aosta recorded an incidence of more than 14 days 500 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, the highest values ​​currently recorded in Italy ”, reads the report which also analyzes the incidence in the last week on a provincial basis. Trieste, Gorizia e Bolzano these are the three areas with “particularly high values” and share, the bulletin emphasizes, being “provinces of confine characterized by daily flows of workers inbound and outbound “in particular from Austria e Slovenia, two states characterized by “high incidence (2,034 and 1,833 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, respectively) and by low vaccination coverage (65.6% and 54.7%, respectively) “. Six other provinces – Forlì-Cesena, Padova, Rimini, Treviso, Venezia and Vicenza – have “300 cases per 100,000 inhabitants”, adds the ISS.

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