For six consecutive weeks, new weekly cases have continued to increase nationwide (+ 22%) with a 7-day moving average more than fivefold: from 2,456 on 15 October to 12,345 on 30 November. This is explained by the new independent monitoring of the GIMBE Foundation which shows how currently 188,360 Italians are in isolation at home while almost six thousand people are hospitalized with almost 700 beds occupied in intensive care by covid patients. This is the picture of the fourth wave of the pandemic in Italy that affects all regions but with some very evident outbreaks. Let’s see them together.
Covid, the provinces with the most infections
In 98 Provinces the incidence is equal to or greater than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants and in 16 Regions all the Provinces exceed this threshold: Abruzzo, Calabria, Campania, Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Lazio, Liguria, Lombardy, Marche, Molise, Piedmont, Sicily, Tuscany, Umbria and Veneto.
The situation is much more problematic in some areas of the country: in particular in 32 provinces there are over 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. At the head of the provinces that have gone into the news as a symbol of the no vax, that is Trieste (635) e Bolzano (552), and the border town with Slovenia Gorizia (496).
In the ranking of the epicenters of the new infections is the Romagna with the provinces of Rimini (362), Forlì-Cesena (321), Ravenna (245), Bologna (213), and the nearby Marche provinces of Pesaro and Urbino (203) and Fermo (200). In North East eyes on Treviso (342), Padua (321), Venice (300), Vicenza (298), Pordenone (252).
The situation in Valle d’Aosta is also critical (286) where even the low number of hospital beds places the region at risk of the yellow zone. Other provinces beyond the threshold of 150 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants include Ascoli Piceno (234), Imperia (233), Udine (219), Rovigo (213), Belluno (209), Ferrara (192), Trento (188), Verona (184), Viterbo (177), Varese (176), Verbano-Cusio-Ossola (164), Cremona (164), Rome (161), Genoa (160), Monza and Brianza (157), Ancona (155) and Como (151).
Bolzano and FVG in the yellow zone, beyond the Aosta, Lazio and Umbria threshold
On the hospital front, there is a further increase in the number of beds occupied by COVID patients: compared to the previous week, + 13.7% in the medical area and + 22% in intensive care. At the national level, as of 23 November, the employment rate was 9% in the medical area and 8% in the critical area, with significant regional differences: the threshold of 15% for the medical area and 10% for the critical area are both exceeded in the Autonomous Province of Bolzano (respectively 20% for the medical area and 11% for the critical area) and in Friuli-Venezia Giulia (respectively 23% for the medical area and 14% for the criticism); moreover, in the medical area the Valle D’Aosta (21%) is above the threshold, while for the critical area the Lazio (10.3%) and Umbria (13%) thresholds are exceeded.
“Daily admissions to intensive care – points out Marco Mosti, Operations Director of the GIMBE Foundation – continue to increase: the 7-day moving average went from 48 admissions / day the previous week to 56”. Deaths increased: 498 in the last 7 days (of which 14 referred to previous periods), with an average of 71 per day compared to 62 in the previous week.