Covid, the Gimbe foundation: “Third doses of vaccine take off but still 2.6 million over 50s without coverage”

Covid, the Gimbe foundation: “Third doses of vaccine take off but still 2.6 million over 50s without coverage”
Covid, the Gimbe foundation: “Third doses of vaccine take off but still 2.6 million over 50s without coverage”

New cases are still growing (+ 25.1%), hospitalizations (+ 13.7%) and intensive care hospitalizations (+ 22%). Deaths also mark an increase (+ 14%). At the same time, the new vaccinates increase (+ 35%) and the third doses of the anti Covid vaccine take off (+ 52.5%) a few days after the entry into force of the Super Green pass but above all with the appearance of Omicron. However, the data of the over 50s who did not even undergo the first dose remains firm. The latest weekly monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation photographs the current situation in Italy with respect to the Covid epidemic on which the Omicron variant of Sars Cove now weighs, which has alerted several countries with the consequent adoption of restrictive measures.

The report notes, in the week of November 24-30, an increase in new cases affecting all regions. The pressure on hospitals naturally increases (+630 hospitalizations in the medical area, +123 in intensive care) and deaths increase (498). On the immunization front, Italy is close to 80% of the population who have received at least one dose of the vaccine. In the last 7 days, the number of new vaccinates has increased but – second Gimbe – still 6.8 million people e 2.6 million over 50s are without any coverage. In the absence of certain information on the potential of the mutation detected for the first time in South Africa, according to Gimbe, it is indispensable enhance sequencing (which in Italy is still carried out too little as shown on the tracing and monitoring outbreaks, accelerating with vaccinations and third doses, in particular for the elderly and the frail, using masks and spacing.

In Italy currently the people in home isolation are +39.007 and also in this case there is an increase (+ 26.1%), as indeed the new cases: 86,412 in the past week equal to + 25.1%. The currently positive ones are +39.760 (+ 25.7%). “For six consecutive weeks – declares Nino Cartabellotta, president of the Gimbe Foundation – new weekly cases continue to increase nationally (+ 22%) with a 7-day moving average more than fivefold: from 2,456 on October 15 to 12,345 on November 30 “. The increased viral circulation is documented by the increase in both the positive / people tested ratio (from 3.6% to 17.1%) and the positive / molecular swab ratio (from 2.4% to 7.2%) and positive / rapid antigenic swabs (0.07% to 0.38%).

In all Regions there is a percentage increase in new cases: from 3.2% of Abruzzo and Umbria to 39% of the Marche. In 98 Provinces the incidence is equal to or greater than 50 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants and in 16 Regions all provinces exceed this threshold: Abruzzo, Calabria, Campania, Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Lazio, Liguria, Lombardy, Marche, Molise, Piedmont, Sicily, Tuscany, Umbria and Veneto. In 32 Province there are over 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants: Trieste (635), Bolzano (552), Gorizia (496), Rimini (362), Treviso (342), Forlì-Cesena (321), Padua (321), Venice (300) , Vicenza (298), Aosta (286), Pordenone (252), Ravenna (245), Ascoli Piceno (234), Imperia (233), Udine (219), Bologna (213), Rovigo (213), Belluno (209 ), Pesaro and Urbino (203), Fermo (200), Ferrara (192), Trento (188), Verona (184), Viterbo (177), Varese. (176), Verbano-Cusio-Ossola (164), Cremona (164), Rome (161), Genoa (160), Monza and Brianza (157), Ancona (155) and Como (151).

“On the hospital front – says Renata Gili, Head of Research on Health Services – is registered a further increase in beds occupied by Covid patients: compared to the previous week + 13.7% in the medical area and + 22% in intensive care “. At the national level, as of 23 November, the employment rate was 9% in the medical area and 8% in the critical area, with significant regional differences: the threshold of 15% for the medical area and 10% for the critical area are both overcome in Autonomous Province of Bolzano (respectively 20% for the medical area and 11% for the critical area) where the emergency was triggered for almost a month and non-urgent interventions were suspended. Even the Friuli Venezia Giulia has exceeded the thresholds (respectively 23% for the medical area and 14% for the critical area); moreover, in the medical area it is placed above the threshold la Valle d’Aosta (21%), while for the critical area they exceed the threshold Lazio (10,3%) e Umbria (13%) (figure 6). “Daily admissions to intensive care – points out Marco Mosti, Operational Director of the Gimbe Foundation – continue to increase: the 7-day moving average went from 48 admissions / day the previous week to 56”.

“In this phase of uncertainty – concludes Cartabellotta – all interventions must be strengthened, following the principle of maximum precaution. In particular, increase sequencing activities by sharing results in the GISAID database, enhance case tracking, and closely monitor areas with rapidly increasing incidence. For the population, the already known behaviors remain fundamental: get vaccinated and undergo the third dose when indicated – with top priority for the elderly and the frail, use the mask in closed environments, possibly FFP2 if crowded, respect social distancing and frequently ventilate closed environments “.

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