Italy e Swiss they are arithmetically in the first two positions of the group: the second in the play-offs. No verdict tonight: in the event of an equal number of points, in fact, the overall goal difference, number of goals scored in the group and then head-to-head matches will count in the order.
If Italy wins
By beating Switzerland, the Azzurri were the first with a draw against Northern Ireland or in the event of a failure by Switzerland against Bulgaria.
If Italy draws
Italy and Switzerland on par in the last 90 ‘, with an overall goal difference of +11 to +9 for the Azzurri: if Switzerland does not beat Bulgaria, Mancini will only be equal with Northern Ireland. If both win the last game, the difference in the score will be decisive. With the same goal difference, the goals scored in the group or away goals in direct matches (in the first leg 0-0) count in the alternative.
If Italy loses
He can only get there first by beating Northern Ireland with a simultaneous defeat of Switzerland, provided he has a better overall goal difference or a higher number of goals scored in the group. Otherwise, Switzerland ahead for direct clashes.