Germany has been struggling for days with a worrying increase in infections from Covid-19: the incidence of infections in the last week has stood – for the first time since last May – over 90 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants and all the data they suggest that in the coming weeks, also due to the arrival of winter, the situation will worsen further.
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Germany has been struggling for days with a worrying increase in infections from Covid-19: the incidence of infections in the last week has been – for the first time since last May – over 90 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants and all the data suggest that in the coming weeks, also due to the arrival of winter, the situation will worsen further: according to the health authorities, the country is entering the “heart” of the fourth wave after relatively quiet months in which the pandemic was been kept under control. Infections began to increase sharply in August, then the contagion curve finally stabilized, in the first days of October, there was a new growth in infections; on Friday the incidence reached 95.1 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants, while seven days earlier this value was significantly lower and equal to 68 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants.
In light of the data that emerged in recent days – with over 19 thousand infections and 116 deaths registered on Friday – the Robert Koch Institut has sounded the alarm for the next few months: the employment rate of the medical and intensive care departments is destined to grow and some hospitals complain that there are already difficulties due to a shortage of staff. However, the national health system should bear the brunt of the fourth wave with greater serenity than last year, given that the vaccination campaign has allowed millions of fragile subjects to be safe from the more serious consequences of Covid-19. However, the security level must continue to be high: on Thursday 1,540 people were hospitalized in the resuscitation wards, 850 of whom supported by mechanical ventilation. There are 22,207 beds available and the most serious problem is represented by the shortage of staff: in fact, thousands of nurses have retired in recent months and have not been replaced. According to the health authorities, the saturation of intensive care in the coming months could exceed the alert level if citizens are not cautious, demonstrating that vaccines – although they have proved to be an extraordinary tool to avoid serious consequences – are not enough on their own to keep the pandemic under control: it is necessary to continue wearing masks and to avoid crowds. And this is a lesson that will have to be learned quickly in Italy too.