in 7 days a boom in tampons, vaccines do not take off

The independent monitoring of the GIMBE Foundation reveals that in the week between 13 and 19 October 2021 the decrease in pandemic indices continued with a slight decrease in new cases and a substantial stability in deaths compared to the previous week. On the other hand, the decline in currently positives continues as well as in people in home isolation, in hospitalizations of patients in intensive care. The occupancy rate of the beds remains very low (4% in the medical area and 4% in the critical area) and no Region exceeds the thresholds of 15% for the medical area and 10% for the critical area.

However, there is a reversal of the trend in 7 Regions where there is a percentage increase in infections, even if in absolute terms the increases are modest: Liguria (+14), Umbria (+19) Friuli Venezia Giulia (+114), Campania (+120), Lombardy (+129), Piedmont (+131), Lazio (+156). The provinces with incidence equal to or greater than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants drop to 9 and none have more than 150 cases per 100,000 inhabitants

Green pass, 2 million rapid tests and 400 thousand new vaccinated

But the week is above all characterized by the green pass effect with the obligation to present the green certificate to enter the workplace. According to data processed by Gimbe, the number of rapid antigenic swabs recorded a sharp rise, increasing by 78.5% in one week. The 7-day moving average rose from 173,235 on 13 October to 309,297 on 19 October; Overall, 2,151,081 rapid antigenic swabs were performed in the last week. On the other hand, the 7-day moving average of the newly vaccinated remained substantially stable: from 57,275 on 13 October to 58,201 on 19 October; a total of 407,404 new people were vaccinated in the last week (+ 4.7%). “In interpreting the effects of the green pass on swabs and new vaccinates – explains Cartabellotta – it is necessary to take into account that each unvaccinated person can undergo up to 3 swabs a week, while to increase vaccination coverage it is sufficient that the number of new vaccinated does not tend to zero “.

Of the 407,404 new people vaccinated in the week 13-19 October, 86.4% belong to age groups that include people of working age: 78,387 in the 20-29 age group, 90,960 in the 30-39 age group, 85,745 in the 40-49 age group years, 68,812 in the 50-59 age group and 27,934 in the 60-69 age group.

newly vaccinated-2

“Observing uneasy scenarios from other countries – concludes Cartabellotta – and in the current impossibility of both defining” magic “percentages to gain population immunity and predicting the times to reach a precise vaccination target, with the winter season just around the corner and the vaccine efficacy that 6 months after the completion of the cycle slowly begins to decline, the GIMBE Foundation invites us to pursue a multifactorial strategy to protect people’s health and guarantee the irreversibility of reopening “.

In conclusion, the Gimbe foundation suggests:

  • Vaccinate the highest possible number of over 12s who do not have specific contraindications, both for individual protection from serious illness or death, in particular for those over 50, and to minimize viral circulation.
  • Accelerate the administration of the third dose, ideally with active call mechanisms, with maximum priority for over 80, guests and staff of the nursing homes and health workers, proceeding in parallel with over 60 and over 18 with comorbidities.
  • Introduce the third dose requirement for healthcare professionals.
  • Progressively extend the vaccinable audience with the booster dose to the 50-59 range and subsequently, if necessary, to the other personal data ranges.
  • Maintain the obligation to use masks indoors and adhere to the rules on social distancing.

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