FOOTBALL: ITALY risks NOT participating in the next WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS. We explain why
In the qualifying round (group C), as also reported by the newspaper Republic, to shake Italy is there Swiss that, after the last 4 to 0 victory against the Lithuania, reached the Azzurri at the top of the standings, with 14 points. The only positive note is that Italy, compared to Switzerland, boasts a higher overall goal difference (2 more goals scored). It is a small treasure, but it still hides a risk, as there are only two games left at the end of the grouping.
The next challenge will be just that direct clash with the Swiss national team, scheduled for next 12 November at the Olympic stadium in Rome. If the Azzurri were to win, they would have a 3-point advantage over the Swiss and a gap of at least 4 goals in overall goal difference (+12 versus +8 in the case of success with a minimum gap). A precious score to face the last day: November 15 againstnorthern Ireland (while Switzerland will face Bulgaria): even the draw in Belfast would be enough for Italy to grab the qualification.
However, the situation would be quite different in the event of a tie with Switzerland. This result would put the Azzurri to the test, postponing the final verdict to the very last day. And in that case even a simple 1-0 win against Northern Ireland may not be enough, because if Switzerland itself were to win at the same time with a difference of 3 goals against Bulgaria, there would be a perfect equality of goal difference and total goals scored.
At that point it would be crucial to evaluate the direct confrontation with the Swiss. In the event of a tie with goals, Switzerland would pass for the most away goals in the direct match. If, on the other hand, in Rome it still ends with white goals, as in the first leg, then even the first goal would become decisive fair play ranking, which takes into account the cards suffered throughout the group. Even here, so far, there is perfect parity, with 8 yellow cards each.
In the event of a further tie, it would proceed to draw. In conclusion, Italy risks.