October 16, 2021
The battle against the Green Pass requirement did not do the League any good. The polls say so and the first round of administrative offices certified it, where the weakness of many center-right candidates was the most evident problem, but not the only one. There are at least two reasons. The first is that Mario Draghi, said bluntly, did not care about the objections raised by Matteo Salvini regarding the green certificate. The premier went straight with the consent of the rest of the majority (including Forza Italia, which is the main ally of the League) and the facts, also given what happened yesterday, have so far rewarded his line. The Carroccio, therefore, made a lot of ado about nothing. The second reason is trivially numerical. Forty million Italians over the age of 18, or 86% of the total, have completed the vaccination cycle and therefore have the abarre code necessary to work, eat in a restaurant or go to the cinema. It is difficult, if not impossible, that they become passionate about dissent on an issue they have already resolved by deciding that the best thing is to get vaccinated and show the Green pass when requested. The Northern League, therefore, was a minority battle: ideal for a small formation, not for a force that has the ambition to govern the country. We need a change of strategy, a return to issues in which VAT numbers and the northern middle class can identify. And now, finally, something has moved. In contravention of the vulgate that wants him closer to Draghi than to Salvini, yesterday the leader of the League, Matteo Salvini, yesterday infuriated by the grillino income League minister Giancarlo Giorgetti, in agreement with the secretary, has set his feet in the council of ministers against the refinancing of citizenship income: 200 million euros taken from other appropriations, destined for workers. “Mocking”, Giorgetti accused, “using the money of those who worked hard for a similar measure.”
Draghi and the Minister of Economy, Daniele Franco, endorsed the transfer of funds, guaranteeing that they had been assigned to overestimated spending items and that therefore nothing will be taken away from anyone. But that money is only for 2021, and the real game is about what will happen to the basic income from January. The premier assured the prebend will be re-discussed within the budget maneuver for 2022, therefore very soon. It will be there that the leaguers will have to impose themselves, strengthened by the fact that their arguments are shared by many Italians and that the ministers of Forza Italia and those of Italia viva are on the same position, as we saw yesterday. There is also room for an “identity” and politically profitable battle on the tax burden. The delegation requested from parliament by the government assigns the latter the power to intervene on excise duties on energy products, and in the name of the “progressive reduction of climate-altering gas emissions” the executive seems willing to increase the tax on diesel, penalizing furthermore motorists and transport companies, which are already paying a heavy price for the rise in oil prices. But wasn’t Draghi the one who promised not to raise taxes? A firm opposition to welfarism and the fiscal press would allow Salvini and his team to intercept the needs of the voters, counter the statist axis formed by the Pd and M5S, strengthen the relationship with Forza Italia and remove the Renzians from the orbit of the democrats. In short, it is a road that promises to give a lot of satisfaction. More than what the League has achieved by fighting against the Green pass, no doubt.