To jump to the eye in this round of administrative is above all a fact: in the big cities he voted much less than in small towns. If the average turnout inelection day of 3 and 4 October (which held together municipal, regional in Calabria and supplementary in two colleges for the Chamber) was 54,64%, already in itself the poorest ever, has stopped in all the major capitals a lot lower. Even under half of those entitled: 48,83% a Roma, 48,80% a Milano, 48,06% a Torino, 47,19% a Naples, 46% a Trieste. The 50% threshold is only exceeded a Bologna, of a breath: with the 51,16%, however, over eight points less than five years ago. And how did these (few) voters vote? Almost everywhere is ahead the center left, which – alone or in partnership with the M5S – brings Milan, Naples and Bologna home to the first round with excellent chances of adding Rome and Turin in two weeks, to the ballot.
This is an outcome that can be explained by observing the abstention map: in the main cities, to desert the polls were the marginal neighborhoods, consensus reservoirs – especially in recent years – for 5 star movement, Lega e Brothers of Italy. In Rome, for example, the lowest figure (42.85%) is recorded in VI Town Hall, the one “delle Torri” (Torre Spaccata, Torre Maura, Torre Angela) where in 2016 – with seven more turnout points – it had triumphed Virginia Raggi, detaching the rival Roberto Giachetti with a merciless 80 a 20. Same picture in Municipality X (Ostia and Acilia) e XI (Magliana and Corviale), both with a turnout at 46,79% against 51% five years ago: then the outgoing mayor had collected respectively the 76% and the 68%. On this lap, on the other hand, Raggi, while still doing her best performance in Municipalities VI and X (where she finished second, ahead of Gualtieri), got tens of thousands of less votes right there. Opposite the trend in central districts, where the turnout even grow up (+ 3% in Town Hall I, + 6% in Town Hall II) but the ones benefiting from it are above all Roberto Gualtieri e Carlo Calenda (and it is no coincidence that, in 2016, only in Municipi I and II Giachetti had won the ballot).
Similar dynamics are observed in other major cities. With the exception of Milan (where the desert at the polls is registered in the center) in Turin and Naples a to stay at home were the suburban voters. In the Piedmontese capital there was a collapse of 13% of voters in the two Circumscriptions which include i neighborhoods more “difficult“: 5 (Borgo Vittoria, Madonna di Campagna, Lucento, Vallette) dropped from 56% to 43% and 6 (Barriera di Milano, Falchera, Rebaudengo) from 55% to 42%. In these areas, five years ago, the outgoing mayor of the 5-star Movement had swept away, Chiara Hangers: now, in the lead – in contrast with the rest of the city – is the center-right candidate Paolo Damilano, while the pentastellata Valentina Sganga it stops at 10% in District 5 and 13% in District 6 (a figure, however, better than that obtained in other areas). Even in Naples, where he won Gaetano Manfredi, the lowest turnout is recorded in peripheral Municipalities, where – at least in theory – the Pd and 5-star candidate seemed to have less appeal: 4th (Poggioreale, Zona Industriale), 6th (Ponticelli, Barra, San Giovanni a Teduccio ), 7 (Miano, Secondigliano, San Pietro a Patierno) and 9 (Soccavo, Pianura). Many of these neighborhoods had pushed, in 2016 and even earlier in 2011, the sprint of Luigi De Magistris.
On the contrary, where the voters figure held (or even has grown) in principle the center-right has scored a good result: in Calabria (attendance 44.36% against 44.33% last year) Roberto Occhiuto he won easily against Amalia Bruni and De Magistris himself. Among the municipalities the most natural example is Benevento, dove Clemente Mastella starts his second term as mayor driven by a record turnout (given the circumstances) of 70%. But also a Latina (63.97% turnout) the candidate from Lega, Forza Italia and Fratelli d’Italia Vincenzo Zaccheo seems to be heading for easy victory. In Tuscany, at the municipal offices of Grosseto participation was above average (59.29%) and the outgoing mayor Antonfrancesco Vivarelli Colonna travels to reconfirmation in the first round.