He had foreseen it The weather a couple of weeks ago: going ahead with the vaccination plan, there will be overtaking in contagion, hospitalizations, terapie intensive and unfortunately also deaths from vaccinated with double dose e not vaccinated. It happened for the age group of over eighty for the first time with the monthly data of the surveillance bulletin of theHigher Institute of Health published Saturday 25 September.
Over the age of 80, the infections among full-cycle vaccinees are 72.8% of the total, those among the unvaccinated 25%. The hospitalizations there were 1,207 (61.3%) of the complete vaccinated against 714 (36.2%) of the unvaccinated. THE admissions to intensive care there were 57 (55.3%) of fully vaccinated and 44 (42.7%) of unvaccinated. AND for the first time the prevalence was also recorded in deaths: 364 (50.6%) among the fully vaccinated and 338 (47%) among the unvaccinated.
Now the same thing is starting to happen in the age range 60-79 years. Already here the infections are higher among the vaccinated (55.8%) than among the unvaccinated (39.6%). They are data that inevitably make noise in the ranks of those who do not trust the vaccine, but they are simply there mathematical consequence (they call it the “paradox“) Of high percentages of vaccinations.
Over the age of 80, 4,177,484 Italians were vaccinated (91.6% of the total), e without vaccine, a total of 283,500 Italians remained. Since the two doses have a cover against the Delta variant of about 90% (less for simple contagion), it is clear that the 10% which is not covered despite having had the vaccines it is as if he had never seen a syringe, so he has the same chances of contagion, hospitalization, intensive care and lethal event of the unvaccinated.
10% of vaccinated people over eighty are therefore 417,748 people, 50% more than the number of unvaccinated people. So it is normal for more people to get into even serious trouble for Covid in this group of vaccinated without protection than in the smallest group of unvaccinated. But it is difficult to make people understand, also because so far the only solution devised by the government has been to deny this possibility. Which instead occurred promptly as we had expected.