In its weekly monitoring, the Gimbe Foundation raises the alarm on the sharp decline in new vaccinations: 41% less in the last two weeks. Positive news, however, on the trend of the epidemiological curve: new infections, hospitalizations and intensive care are decreasing, while deaths remain stable.
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New cases, hospitalizations and intensive care are decreasing, while deaths remain stable. But what is worrying is the trend of vaccination campaign, with a marked decrease in people receiving their first dose in the past two weeks. These are the elements highlighted by the weekly monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation: on the one hand, the incidence of infections and the number of hospitalizations seem to be a good omen, while on the other the slowdown in vaccinations, also in view of 15 October, when the green pass will become mandatory in all workplaces, both public and private.
Infections, hospitalizations and intensive care are decreasing
In the monitoring of the week that goes from 15 to 21 September Gimbe underlines the decline of all curves, except that of deaths (which is stable). Cases drop by 14.9%, going from almost 34 thousand to less than 29 thousand. THE hospitalizations they are down by 5.5%: from 4,165 to 3,937. The terapie intensive: from 554 to 516. Deaths stable: + 1.3%, from 389 to 394. Nino Cartabellotta, president of the Gimbe Foundation, explains: “New weekly cases continue to decrease, both as absolute numbers and as a moving average of daily cases which stands at 4,097“. Only in four regions there is a percentage increase in new cases, while in only 35 provinces there is an incidence equal to or greater than 50 cases per week per 100 thousand inhabitants. In none is the value of 150 infections exceeded.
Gimbe raises the alarm on the decline in new vaccines
There is no shortage of vaccine stocks, with over 10 million doses available, but i new vaccinates fell by 41% in two weeks, warns the Gimbe Foundation. In general, the weekly administrations: they are 1.48 million, with a moving average of 212 thousand inoculations per day. And, above all, there are only 486 thousand new vaccinated this week. Cartabellotta emphasizes that “the number of new weekly vaccinations, after the timid rise at the end of August (831 thousand), in the last week has fallen to around 487 thousand. Given the current and unjustified public unavailability of booking data, it is not possible to know to what extent these numbers will rise in the coming weeks due to the extension of the green pass obligation in the workplace.”.
75% of the population received at least one dose of vaccine and almost 70% have completed the vaccination course. The greatest hesitation in the last few days is recorded among the over 50, while administrations in the 12-19 age group are also slowing down, in which almost 1.5 million young people have not yet received even a dose. Among the over 50s, 89.5% received at least the first dose but the weekly increase is only 0.6%. In addition, there are 3.7 million over 50 who have not yet completed the vaccination course and 2.88 million without even a dose. New vaccinations, on the other hand, are growing more in the 20-year-olds and 30-year-olds, albeit at a slower pace than in the past. There are also signs of a slowdown in the 12-19 age group.
The critical points of the school for Gimbe
“In the schools there is no zero risk of contagion”, Underlines Cartabellotta. Which explains, however, how it is “it can be minimized through a multifactorial approach by combining different individual and environmental prevention interventions“. However, some problems are reported to be addressed in an attempt to reduce the impact of the reopening of schools on the contagion curve. Gimbe reports that 1.46 million children (32%) have not received even a dose, to which 5.9% (about 90 thousand) of the school staff must be added. Furthermore, citing a study by the Centers for Disease control and prevention, the Foundation explains why abandoning the mandatory masks in the classroom would be a decision “not based on scientific evidence“. Finally, among the critical points there is also the non-compulsory distance in class and the need for periodic screening.