The will of most Italians remains very clear: to trust the political forces of center right rather than relying on the Democratic Party and the 5 Star Movement. This is what is confirmed by the weekly Supermedia developed by YouTrend per Acted, a weighted average of surveys on voting intentions made from 24 June to 7 July by the EMG, Euromedia, Ipsos, Ixè, Swg and Tecnè institutes. The surveys show a stable and unchanged political picture compared to the last few weeks, without major changes in the weight ratios between the main parties in the current scenario.
The Lega goes up, down the M5S
At the command of the ranking remains the League by Matteo Salvini, which gains 0.1% and reaches 20.6%. It follows Brothers of Italy by Giorgia Meloni who, despite a slight decrease of 0.2%, is second with 19.8%. The Pd completes the podium, increasing by 0.3% which allows him to reach 19.4%. The M5S is more detached which, also due to the internal chaos caused by the tug-of-war between Giuseppe Conte and Beppe Grillo, loses 0.5% and drops to 15.7%. Come on Italy it goes to 7.9% after leaving 0.1%. The last places in the poll are closed by Carlo Calenda’s Action (unchanged at 3.1%), Italia Viva by Matteo Renzi (at 2%, down 0.3%), Italian Left (2%, + 0.2%) , Article 1 – Mdp (1.9%, + 0.1%), + Europe (1.8%, up 0.3%) and the Greens (stable at 1.6%).
The center-right flies in the polls
Analyzing the numbers of the latest poll, it is clear that the parties led by Silvio Berlusconi, Matteo Salvini and Giorgia Meloni are clearly ahead of the other camps. The center-right as a whole stands at 49%, with a slowdown of 0.3%. Also yellow and red undergo a decline, losing 0.1% which makes them stop at only 37.1%. Instead, the situation relating to the areas of the Parliament follows. The majority in support of the government led by Mario Draghi is down by 0.2% and down to 73.2%, of which the Giallorossi (Democratic Party, Movimento 5 Stelle and Liberi e equuali) to 37.1%, center-right (Forza Italia, Lega and Toti) to 29.2 % and liberal center at 7%. The opposition of the center-right area (Fratelli d’Italia) is at 19.8%, while that of the center-left (Italian Left) is at 2%.
It is therefore bad for the Pd, M5S and Leu: the intention remains to build an organic alliance between the three parties, but the difficulties of the internal moment of the grillini and the differences in many municipalities where voting will take place in the autumn could blow everything up. It also remains to be seen what he will decide Giuseppe Conte: will the former prime minister mend Grillo and then become the leader of the 5 Stars or will he break with the guarantor and make a party of his own?