July, latest indications on the second month of SUMMER, trend «3B Meteo

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5-11 July: A new comeback of the anticyclone, fed by masses of hot air, affects the Mediterranean basin but in particular the central-southern regions with stable weather and temperatures well above the average. Infiltrations of fresh Atlantic air, on the other hand, reach Northern Italy bringing rainfall. Europe is dominated by a bloc regime with highs centered between the Baltic and Scandinavia.

scenario proposed by Ecmwf

12-18 July: the scenario proposed by Ecmwf, with geopotential peaks between Central Europe and Scandinavia, may also be compatible with an anticyclone extending from the mid-Atlantic to the north-east. We could therefore expect summer weather conditions in Italy with temperatures above average; however, the lack of a solid anticyclonic structure precisely on the Mediterranean would suggest the possibility of unstable notes with diurnal evolution, in particular on the central southern Apennines and the eastern Alps.

scenario proposed by Ecmwf

July 19-25: as in the previous period, the peaks of geopotential at 500 hPa are expected by Ecmwf in central and northern Europe according to a block regime. This scenario may also be compatible with the sub-tropical anticyclone stretching from the mid-Atlantic towards central-northern Europe to also involve Italy. Sun and summer climate on the Peninsula with some undulations affecting Northern Italy with instability in particular on the Alpine circle. Temperatures above average.

thermal scenario according to ecmwf
thermal scenario according to ecmwf

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