Weather in JULY and AUGUST: will it really be a FIRE SUMMER? The LATEST UPDATE is WORRY
Official screenings for the next summer months Summer is in full swing and the weather is already hitting hot peaks, so much so that by next year weekend we will reach peaks even higher than the fearsome 2003 season, at least with reference to the central part of June.
But it’s going to be a really hot season? Just a few weeks ago the seasonal forecasts were in favor of an average and not too hot summer season, especially as regards August. The latest update on the other hand is starting to get worrying.
But let’s go in order to better understand what to expect, in general, for the highlight of holidays in Italy according to the authoritative Center European.
Let’s start by saying that the next few weeks of June may be almost “tropical” because of a vast high pressure field of African origin that is destined to impose itself in an increasingly significant way on the Mediterranean basin: if this should be confirmed, we expect thermal values sharply increasing with peaks over 35 ° C so much so that they would risk “collapse” the records of 2003. The downside of this particular synoptic condition is the risk of sudden e strong thunderstorms that could occur especially in the Center-North.
This is likely to be the trend also for the rest of the summer season. In fact, the latest seasonal cards of European Center for the next month of July they see anomalies of temperatures up to + 3 ° C compared to climatic averages of reference (1993-2016). The main cause of these anomalies will be the infamous African anticyclone which from the Sahara Desert will send hot air masses with high humidity levels. This could likely translate to heat waves coming from Africa, so far completely absent (or almost), with peaks ready to splash well over 36 ° C in Valpadana, on the inland areas of the two major islands and on part of the central-southern peninsula.
The surplus of heat and rising humidity in the lower strata could provide the fuel needed for the development of massive ones storm cells whenever of the drafts of fresher air and unstable will be able to breach the anticyclone. Most at risk in these cases will be the Northern regions, more subject to the violent temporal due to thermal contrasts.
In spite of what was estimated from the last update, the juiciest Announcements that emerges from the last projection concerns the month of August, traditionally the highlight of Italian holidays: well, it seems that we will have to deal with temperatures well above the average of about + 1 ° C: consequently, it is reasonable to expect a rather hot month, especially at Center-North. Slightly different speech for the South and for the two major islands, where the anomalies would be more contained (+ 0.5 ° C compared to the reference average).
While there is a certain margin of uncertainty, the above it’s all true; these are not far-fetched predictions, but one of the main ones scenarios proposed by the very authoritative European Center.
Temperatures for the month of July: up to 3 ° C above average